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  • ASML can't meet demand 📈, Google Willow cuts errors 🔮, SpaceX throttles Ukraine 🐌

    From TLDR Hardware@VERT to All on Fri Oct 16 13:19:26 2026
    ASML sold 113 new lithography systems in Q3, up from 86, for record
    sales of €11.7 billion. It now expects planned 2027 and 2028 supply to ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 


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    TLDR

    TLDR HARDWARE 2026-10-16

    📱

    HEADLINES AND LAUNCHES

    ASML SAYS 2027 AND 2028 TOOL SUPPLY WON'T MEET DEMAND AS Q3 SHIPMENTS
    HIT 113 SYSTEMS (3 MINUTE READ) [4]

    ASML sold 113 new lithography systems in Q3, up from 86, for record
    sales of €11.7 billion. It now expects planned 2027 and 2028 supply
    to fall short of demand, even after its planned 30% capacity boost on
    a 2026 base of about 65 low-NA EUV and 130 DUV immersion tools, and is investigating adding more for 2028. Some customers want to place
    orders for 2029 and 2030. Q4 sales are guided to €14.2 to €15.2
    billion.

    GOOGLE'S WILLOW CHIP CUTS QUANTUM MAGIC-STATE ERRORS 40X WITH
    CULTIVATION (4 MINUTE READ) [5]

    Google ran magic state cultivation on its Willow chip, cutting errors
    about 40x versus uncultivated states and reaching a record 99.99%
    logical fidelity for T-states. Magic states are a bottleneck because
    making them could consume up to 95% of a quantum computer's capacity. Cultivation injects a noisy state into a small chip region, then uses coordinated measurements to discard flawed attempts, and Google
    grafted a distance-3 color code onto a distance-5 surface code.
    Larger-scale demonstrations are still needed.

    🔨

    ENGINEERING AND APPLICATIONS

    INSIDE THE SECRETIVE AWS NETWORKING LAB (7 MINUTE READ) [6]

    ServeTheHome toured AWS' in-house networking lab, covering switches
    from 3.2 Tbps to 102.4 Tbps (1.6T OSFP ports, not yet in volume), a
    12.8 Tbps switch with 16 FPGAs encrypting every port, and a dedicated satellite-referenced timing network. It also saw 64-wavelength DWDM
    modules and hollow-core fiber with about 33% lower latency.

    ROCKET LAB DELAYS NEUTRON TO 2027 OVER VOIDS IN A CARBON-COMPOSITE
    TANK DOME (3 MINUTE READ) [7]

    Rocket Lab moved Neutron's debut to 2027 after finding voids in the carbon-composite layers of the forward dome on its first-stage
    propellant tank. A replacement dome is being built, and Rocket Lab
    must still inspect it, assemble the first stage, and complete pressure
    and cryogenic tests before setting a firm date. It's the rocket's
    fourth slip since its 2021 unveiling, following a January tank rupture
    in testing, and shares fell about 10% after hours.

    🧠

    RESEARCH AND PROTOTYPES

    MONAZITE ORE COULD SUPPLY EV MOTOR MAGNET METALS, IF THE THORIUM
    WASTE CAN BE HANDLED (19 MINUTE READ) [8]

    Monazite ore is 45 to 70 percent rare earths by weight and carries
    all four elements motor magnets need (neodymium, praseodymium,
    dysprosium, and terbium), making it a leading path around China's
    roughly 90 percent market share. The catch is thorium, whose waste
    must be stored indefinitely. Energy Fuels already produces neodymium-praseodymium oxide plus pilot dysprosium and terbium at its
    Utah mill, while Saskatchewan's government-backed plant has produced
    little after six years and over CA$100 million.

    AYAR LABS AND GUC SIMULATE A 3 KW CO-PACKAGED OPTICS PACKAGE, AND
    ONLY LIQUID COOLING HOLDS SPEC (4 MINUTE READ) [9]

    Ayar Labs and GUC simulated a 105mm by 140mm package with two XPUs,
    eight HBM4 stacks, and eight TeraPHY optical engines, offering over
    100 Tbps of optical bandwidth at more than 3 kW. A standard air
    heatsink at 5 to 6 m/s failed spec, while an impingement liquid cold
    plate at 4.5 L/min kept the optical engines under 100°C. Results use
    static power assumptions, so dynamic workload simulation is next.

    🎁

    MISCELLANEOUS

    SPACEX REPORTEDLY SPEED-LIMITS STARSHIELD TERMINALS ON UKRAINIAN
    DRONES, CANCELLING MISSIONS (3 MINUTE READ) [10]

    Ukrainian officials say SpaceX capped speeds on military Starshield
    terminals mounted on drones, with no warning and no stated reason. The
    cap is nominally 160 km/h, but the 7th Rapid Reaction Corps reports
    10- to 20-second connection drops at just 110 to 120 km/h, and a
    volunteer says drops now start at 60 to 70 km/h. Multiple missions
    were cancelled. Officials suspect it's intentional, and Ukrainian firm
    Stetman is developing an alternative satellite system, UASAT-NANO.

    JURY FINDS ARM BREACHED QUALCOMM'S CHIP LICENSE BUT AWARDS JUST $2 (3
    MINUTE READ) [11]

    A Delaware jury found Arm breached its architectural license with
    Qualcomm by failing to provide software patches and tools for its
    designs, and intentionally interfered with Qualcomm's Meta chip talks,
    but awarded just $2 in damages. Arm won five other breach claims, and Qualcomm's license runs through 2033, so its Oryon CPU work continues.
    Both sides claimed vindication, with Qualcomm shares up about 2.5% and
    Arm down about 2.2%.

    ⚡

    QUICK LINKS

    AMAZON'S BEE LAUNCHES A $75 WRIST-WORN AI RECORDER AND A MAGNETIC
    PHONE ATTACHMENT WITH 21-DAY BATTERY (3 MINUTE READ) [12]

    Amazon's Bee launched Bee Frontier, a wrist or clip-on AI recorder
    with dual noise-filtering microphones, IP67 water resistance, and
    seven days of battery, for $74.99.

    NVIDIA RTX SPARK: AI PLATFORM, LAPTOP CHIP AND DLSS 5 (25 MINUTE
    READ) [13]

    NVIDIA's RTX Spark pairs a Blackwell GPU with a Grace CPU and up to
    128 GB of shared LPDDR5X, with laptops due October 16 and compact
    desktops in November.

    SOLIDIGM REPORTEDLY TIES A US NAND FAB TO MORE TOOL EXPORTS FOR SK
    HYNIX'S CHINA PLANT (2 MINUTE READ) [14]

    Reuters reports Solidigm wants US approval to ship more American
    chipmaking tools to SK Hynix's Dalian, China fab, as a condition of
    building a US NAND factory.

    RED HAT ENGINEER USES CLAUDE CODE TO REVERSE-ENGINEER A SCANNER AND
    FIX A MIPI WEBCAM ON LINUX (2 MINUTE READ) [15]

    Red Hat's Christian Schaller used Claude Code to get a Pustek 8200i
    film scanner working on Linux, capturing USB traffic from the vendor's
    Windows driver in a VM to write a SANE driver.

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    BEST BOOTSTRAPPED BUSINESSES [19] of 2025.

    If you have any comments or feedback, just respond to this email!

    Thanks for reading,
    Andrew Tan [20], Adi Nikumbh [21], Kshitij Sudan [22], & Kat Scott
    [23]

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    [1] https://tldr.tech/hardware?utm_source=tldrhardware
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    [3] https://a.tldrnewsletter.com/web-version?ep=1&lc=48ce571c-d4e0-11f0-8279-1f6dc2dca83a&p=5f08922a-c951-11f1-8ff2-69beec8ff3be&pt=campaign&t=1792156766&s=5019db4287be454de1fac630621077c359a1086a9c6981bb7467bedf07276a42
    [4] https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/14/asml-3q-earnings-ai-demand-orders-capacity.html?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [5] https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/quantum-computing/magic-state-cultivation-quantum-computing/?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [6] https://www.servethehome.com/inside-the-secretive-aws-networking-lab/?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [7] https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/10/rocket-lab-announces-another-delay-for-its-medium-lift-neutron-rocket?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [8] https://spectrum.ieee.org/monazite-rare-earth?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [9] https://semiengineering.com/thermal-co-simulation-testing-of-co-packaged-optics/?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [10] https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/drones/spacex-limits-starlink-service-for-ukraines-high-speed-military-drones-without-prior-warning-ukrainian-officials-say-limitation-significantly-complicates-logistics-and-drone-operations?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [11] https://links.tldrnewsletter.com/DCTT1P
    [12] https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/devices/amazon-personal-ai-bee-frontier-bee-eclipse?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [13] https://www.igorslab.de/en/nvidia-rtx-spark-ai-superchip-laptop-platform-dlss-push/?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [14] https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/15/sk-hynix-bargains-for-chip-equipment-exports-to-its-china-facility-in-return-for-building-a-factory-in-us?utm_source=tldrhardware
    [15] https://www.phoronix.com/news/AI-Reverse-Engineer-Linux-HW?utm_source=tldrhardware
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    [21] https://www.linkedin.com/in/adinikumbh
    [22] https://www.linkedin.com/in/kshitij-sudan/
    [23] https://www.linkedin.com/in/katherineascott/
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